revenge of the sith

the box office progress of revenge of the sith has been fascinating to follow as it breaks many of the short sprint box office records.  but what legs does this behemoth have, and how will it faire against the onslaught of batman begins, war of the worlds, fantastic four and the other summer blockbusters.  mark newbold takes a completely uneducated shot at guesstimating the outcome of sith at the box office.

american domestic total - guesstimate - $440 million

- actual - $376,032,137 million

worldwide total - guesstimate - $1.2 billion

- actual - $798 million

JUNE 2005

saturday 11th sunday 12th monday 13th tuesday 14th wednesday 15th
DAY 24

guesstimate - $5 000 000

actual - $6,268,941

$326 000 000

actual - $327,533,000

DAY 25

guesstimate - $3 000 000

actual - $4,577,194

$329 000 000

actual - $332,108,000

DAY 26

guesstimate - $2 000 000

actual - $1,688,809

$331 000 000

actual - $333,797,980

DAY 27

guesstimate - $2 000 000

actual - $1,586,799

$333 000 000

actual - $335,384,779

DAY 28
batman begins
guesstimate - $2 000 000
 
actual - $1,351,744
 
$335 000 000
 
actual - $336,736,523
thursday 16th friday 17th saturday 18th sunday 19th monday 20th
DAY 29

guesstimate - $2 000 000

actual - $1,365,664

$337 000 000

actual - $338,102,187

DAY 30

guesstimate - $2 500 000

actual - $2,490,000

$339 000 000

actual - $340,592,000

DAY 31

guesstimate - $3 500 000

actual - $3,943,650

$342 500 000

actual - $344,628,653

DAY 32

guesstimate - $2 500 000

actual - $3,512,032

$345 000 000

actual - $348,140,685

DAY33

guesstimate - $1 500 000

actual - $1,129,468

$346 500 000

actual - $349,270,153

tuesday 21st wednesday 22nd thursday 23rd friday 24th saturday 25th
DAY 34

guesstimate - $1 000 000

actual - $1,076,732

$347 500 000

actual - $350,346,885

DAY 35

guesstimate - $1 000 000

actual - $1,043,986

$348 500 000

actual - $351,390,871

DAY 36

guesstimate - $1 000 000

actual - $965,277

$349 500 000

actual - $352,356,148

DAY 37

guesstimate - $2 000 000

actual - $1,702,370

$351 500 000

actual - $354,058,518

DAY 38

guesstimate - $3 000 000

actual - $2,489,517

$354 500 000

actual - $356,548,035

sunday 26th monday 27th tuesday 28th wednesday 29th thursday 30th
DAY 39

guesstimate - $2 000 000

actual - $1,921,184

$356 500 000

actual - $358,469,219

DAY 40

guesstimate - $800 000

actual - $829,713

$357 300 000

actual - $359,298,932

DAY 41

guesstimate - $800 000

actual - $844,775

$358 100 000

actual - $360,143,707

DAY 42
war of the worlds
guesstimate - $800 000
 
actual - $653,714
 
$358 900 000
 
actual - $360,797,421

DAY 43

shrek 2 breaks $400m
guesstimate - $800 000
 
actual - $673,693
 
$359 700 000
 

actual - $361,471,114

JULY 2005

friday 1st saturday 2nd sunday 3rd monday 4th tuesday 5th
DAY 44

guesstimate - $1 300 000

actual - $1,196,367

$362 000 000

actual - $362,667,481

DAY 45

guesstimate - $2 000 000

actual - $1,504,762

$364 000 000

actual - $364,172,243

DAY 46

guesstimate - $1 300 000

actual - $1,381,021

$365 300 000

actual - $365,553,264

DAY 47

guesstimate - $700 000

actual - $949,313

$366 000 000

actual - $366,502,577

DAY 48

guesstimate - $700 000

actual - $611,415

$366 700 000

actual - $367,113,992

wednesday 6th thursday 7th friday 8th saturday 9th sunday 10th
DAY 49

guesstimate - $700 000

actual - $574,938

$367 400 000

actual - $367,688,930

DAY 50

guesstimate - $700 000

actual - $530,159

$368 200 000

actual - $368,219,089

DAY 51

guesstimate - $1 000 000

actual - $765,386

$369 200 000

actual - $368,984,475

DAY 52

guesstimate - $1 200 000

actual - $1,092,385

$370 400 000

actual - $370,076,860

DAY 53

guesstimate - $1 000 000

actual - $743,029

$371 400 000

actual - $370,819,889

monday 11th tuesday 12th wednesday 13th thursday 14th friday 15th
DAY 54

guesstimate - $300 000

actual - $334,230

$371 700 000

actual - $371,154,119

DAY 55

guesstimate - $300 000

actual - $350,413

$372 000 000

actual - $371,504,532

DAY 56

guesstimate - $300 000

actual - $358,587

$372 300 000

actual - $371,863,119

DAY 57

guesstimate - $300 000

actual - $359,707

$372 600 000

actual - $372,222,826

DAY 58

guesstimate - $600 000

actual - $454,196

$373 200 000

actual - $372,677,022

saturday 16th sunday 17th monday 18th tuesday 19th wednesday 20th
DAY 59

guesstimate -  $800 000

actual - $713,609

$374 000 000

actual - $373,390,631

DAY 60

guesstimate - $500 000

actual - $535,588

$374 500 000

actual - $373,926,219

DAY 61

guesstimate - $200 000

actual - $225,094

$374 700 000

actual - $374,151,313

DAY 62

guesstimate - $200 000

actual - $226,170

$374 900 000

actual - $374,377,483

DAY 63

guesstimate - $200 000

actual - $221,678

$375 100 000

actual - $374,599,161

thursday 21st friday 22nd saturday 23rd sunday 24th monday 25th
DAY 64

guesstimate - $200 000

actual - $230,505

$375 300 000

actual - $374,829,666

DAY 65

guesstimate - $350 000

actual - $289,937

$375 850 000

actual - $375,119,603

DAY 66

guesstimate - $400 000

actual - $431,368

$376 250 000

actual - $375,550,971

DAY 67

guesstimate - $300 000

actual - $325,677

$376 550 000

actual - $375,876,648

DAY 68

guesstimate - $100 000

actual - $155,489

$376 650 000

actual - $376,032,137

tuesday 26th wednesday 27th thursday 28th friday 29th saturday 30th
DAY 69

guesstimate - $100 000

actual -

$376 650 000

actual -

DAY 70

guesstimate - $100 000

actual -

$376 750 000

actual -

DAY 71

guesstimate - $100 000

actual -

$376 850 000

actual -

DAY 72

guesstimate - $200 000

actual -

$377 050 000

actual -

DAY 73

guesstimate - $300 000

actual -

$377 350 000

actual -

sunday 31st        
DAY 74

guesstimate - $150 000

actual -

$377 500 000

actual -